Over the next five years, Pyramid Research expects Iran's total telecoms market revenue to grow at a CAGR of 0.8% in dollar terms and 3.7% on a local currency basis. The key drivers of growth will be mobile data and fixed broadband internet. Mobile data will be driven by the expansion of 3G networks by the main mobile operators, as well as an increasing focus on 4G, which was first introduced into the market in late 2014. Fixed broadband will, in particular, benefit from the rollout of FTTx networks and the revocation of a regulatory cap on home broadband speeds.
In 2015, Iran will be the sixth largest telecom services market in AME, with estimated revenue of $6.4bn (or 1.6% of GDP), a 1.5% decrease on the previous year due to the volatility of the rial. Pyramid Research expects to see overall service revenue grow at a 0.8% CAGR from 2015 to 2020.
The mobile voice segment is the largest revenue generator, contributing 41% of total revenue. We expect mobile data revenue to expand at a CAGR of 4.7% in dollar terms or 7.7% in local currency to reach $2.0bn by 2020.
Adoption of 3G technologies is at 16.6% of the mobile subscription base; we expect 3G subscriptions to grow at a CAGR of 21.9% to reach 38.2% of all subscriptions by 2020.
Adoption of 4G technologies in the next five years will highly depend on the introduction of 4G services by MCI, and the availability and price of compatible devices.
In 2015 broadband penetration will reach 9.1% of the population, and we expect it to reach 15.6% by 2020.
Iran: Next Generation Mobile Networks and FTTx Deployment to Increase Market Potential provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in Iran today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2020. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into the telecom market of Iran, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Research's databases.
It provides in-depth analysis of the following:
Iran in a regional context; a comparative review of market size and trends with that of other countries in the region.
Economic, demographic and political context in Iran.
The regulatory environment and trends; a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments.
A demand profile; analysis as well as forecasts and historical figures of service revenue from fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice and data markets.
The service evolution; a look at the change in the breakdown of overall revenue by fixed and mobile sectors and by voice and data in the current year as well as the end of the forecast period.
The competitive landscape; an examination of key trends in competition and service providers' performance, revenue market shares and expected moves over the next 18-24 months.
An in-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony and broadband services, mobile voice and data services; a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by technology/platform as well as operator (for mobile), average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.
Main opportunities; this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in the telecommunications market in Iran.
Read in-depth analysis of current strategies and future trends of the Iranian telecommunications market, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format, to build proactive and profitable growth strategies.
Understand the factors behind ongoing and upcoming trends in Iran's mobile communications, fixed telephony and broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares, to align product offerings and strategies to meet customer demand.
Leverage the graphical information (more than 20 charts and tables in the report based on Pyramid Research forecast products) to gain an overview of the Iranian telecom market.
Gain insights on the key telecom players in the market and their strategies to improve market share.
Explore novel opportunities to align your product strategies and offerings to meet customer requirements and succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in Iran.